Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Greenock Morton
58.92% ( -0.02)	23.62% ( 0.02)	17.46% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.61% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

-0.08)

53.64% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

-0.07)

75.13% (

0.07)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.04)

17.95% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

-0.07)

48.79% (

0.07)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.59% (

-0.04)

44.41% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.54% (

-0.04)

80.45% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Livingston 58.91%

Greenock Morton 17.46%

Draw 23.61%

Livingston	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.91%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.46%