Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 23, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Henderson (67')
Rus (41'), Devlin (65'), Dempsey (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ritchie-Hosler (28'), Clay (36'), Comrie (62'), Otoo (70')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
50.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.79% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)24.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.064999999999998 0.06)49.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.057000000000002 0.06)71.93% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)51.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.66% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (0.032999999999998 0.03)71.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 50.32%
    Dunfermline Athletic 24.88%
    Draw 24.78%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.88%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dunfermline
1-1
Ayr
Otoo (15')
Comrie (21'), Wighton (90+1')
Watret (22')
Dempsey (24'), McAllister (35'), Walker (70')
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Ayr
3-3
Dunfermline
McKenzie (21'), McRoberts (68'), Dowds (73')
Sanders (70')
Kane (35', 42'), Edwards (45')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dunfermline
2-0
Ayr
Hamilton (42'), Kane (45+1')
Welch-Hayes (74')

Musonda (57')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Ayr
2-2
Dunfermline
McGeady (41'), Musonda (63')
Ahui (90')
Jakubiak (3', 9')
Wighton (62'), Edwards (86')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr
Chalmers (10')
Ahui (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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