Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 23, 2024 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Marco Rus 41' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 65' yellowcard
  • Jay Henderson 67' goal
  • Ben Dempsey 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kane Ritchie-Hosler 28'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 36'
  • yellowcard Aaron Comrie 62'
  • yellowcard Ewan Otoo 70'

Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Ayr 3 - 2 Queen's Park
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Chris Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result

Ayr United 50.33% (+0.03)
Draw 24.79% (-0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 24.88% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.06% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 49.94% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.07% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.93% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 13.36% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.64% (-0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 80.14% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.86% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 48.04% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.95% (-0.06)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 65.34% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.66% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.62% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.38% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Ayr United 50.32%
Draw 24.78%
Dunfermline Athletic 24.88%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 24.78%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.88%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT East End Park
  • Ewan Otoo 15' goal
  • Aaron Comrie 21' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Watret 22'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 24'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 35'
  • yellowcard Ethan Walker 70'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT Somerset Park
  • Mark McKenzie 21' goal
  • Lucas McRoberts 68' goal
  • Jack Sanders 70' yellowcard
  • Anton Dowds 73' goal
  • goal Chris Kane 35'
  • goal Chris Kane 42'
  • goal Josh Edwards 45'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT East End Park
  • Chris Hamilton 42' goal
  • Chris Kane 45'+1' goal
  • Miles Welch-Hayes 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frankie Musonda 57'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Aiden McGeady 41' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 63' goal
  • Elicha Ahui 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Jakubiak 3'
  • goal Alex Jakubiak 9'
  • yellowcard Craig Wighton 62'
  • yellowcard Josh Edwards 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT East End Park
  • goal Logan Chalmers 10'
  • yellowcard Elicha Ahui 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kevin O'Hara 37' yellowcard
  • Liam Polworth 68' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 79' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 86' goal
  • Dan Pybus 86' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Muirhead 35'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 78'