Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Ayr United |
| 46.95% ( | 26.5% ( | 26.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.58% ( | 55.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% ( | 76.62% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% ( | 36.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% ( | 73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.55% |