Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Livingston |
| 31.8% ( | 26.18% ( | 42.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( | 51.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( | 73.52% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( | 30.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( | 66.53% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( | 24.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( | 58.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.01% |