Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 47.83% ( | 24.9% ( | 27.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( | 48.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( | 70.71% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( | 20.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( | 52.75% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( | 31.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( | 68.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.27% |