Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
5 - 2
Falkirk

McLennan (34'), Dempsey (38'), McMann (40'), Bavidge (60', 70')
Devlin (6')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Maciver (2'), Agyeman (36')
Mackie (90+3')
Graham (9')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Partick 1-0 Ayr
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Falkirk 3-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Falkirk
29.72% ( 0)	24.8% ( 0.01)	45.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.17% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

-0.02)

46.74% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31% (

-0.02)

69% (

0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

-0.01)

29.24% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

-0.01)

65.19% (

0.01)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

-0.02)

20.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.82% (

-0.02)

53.17% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 29.73%

Falkirk 45.47%

Draw 24.8%

Ayr United	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.73%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.47%