Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 61.33% ( | 21.74% ( | 16.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( | 47.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( | 69.26% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( | 14.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( | 43.13% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( | 41.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.32% ( | 77.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 4-1 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.93% |