Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 45.18% ( | 26.12% ( | 28.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( | 52.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( | 74.4% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( | 23.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% ( | 57.22% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( | 33.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% ( | 69.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.69% |