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St Johnstone logo
Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Hamilton logo

Dunfermline
3 - 2
Hamilton

Todd (56'), Cooper (82', 88')
Hamilton (35'), Otoo (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGinty (74'), Shaw (90' pen.)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, November 23 at 3.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 5-1 Hamilton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawHamilton Academical
46.36% (-0.447 -0.45)25.75% (-0.084 -0.08)27.89% (0.526 0.53)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.626 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.636 0.64)51.73% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (0.548 0.55)73.51% (-0.553 -0.55)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.096000000000004 0.1)55.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (0.75 0.75)33.17% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.82 0.82)69.77% (-0.824 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 46.35%
    Hamilton Academical 27.89%
    Draw 25.74%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Hamilton
1-0
Dunfermline
Tumilty (26')
Williamson (50'), Martin (53')

Fisher (38'), Ritchie-Hosler (56')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hamilton
2-2
Dunfermline
Moyo (25', 77')
Moyo (56'), Popescu (71')
Donaldson (6'), Lawless (52' pen.)
Edwards (45+2'), Dow (53')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Dunfermline
1-0
Hamilton
Dow (32')
Allan (59'), Todd (90+2')

Mimnaugh (75')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hamilton
1-0
Dunfermline
Moyo (61' pen.)
Martin (75'), Popescu (88')

O'Hara (72'), Connolly (86'), McCann (88')
Dorrans (61')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dunfermline
0-0
Hamilton
Dorrans (20'), Watson (54'), Dow (68')
Want (40'), Popescu (90')