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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Ayr United

Hamilton
0 - 2
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-0)
McKenzie (81'), Stanger (84')
McMann (19')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 2-1 Partick
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
28.49% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)23.71% (-0.133 -0.13)47.8% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 59.07% (0.427 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (0.576 0.58)42.56% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (0.572 0.57)64.96% (-0.569 -0.57)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.26600000000001 0.27)27.98% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (0.335 0.34)63.61% (-0.333 -0.33)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.29300000000001 0.29)17.99% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (0.499 0.5)48.85% (-0.497 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 28.49%
    Ayr United 47.8%
    Draw 23.71%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.49%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.39% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.82% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 47.8%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ayr
3-2
Hamilton
Murphy (8'), Rus (52'), Oakley (66')
Dempsey (37'), Musonda (47'), Rus (85'), Alin Rus (85')
Shaw (27'), Barjonas (38')
Hendrie (48'), Williamson (69'), (69'), Kilday (87'), (88')
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr

Martin (16'), Maguire (68'), O'Hara (79')
Martin (68')
Stanger (18'), Dowds (72')
Musonda (55')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr
Dempsey (12' pen.), Ashford (27')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Ayr
1-0
Hamilton
Mullin (32')
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Hamilton
2-3
Ayr
Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)
Akinyemi (4', 69'), Dempsey (83' pen.)