Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 1
Partick

Oakley (19', 36')
Oakley (3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Milne (87')
Crawford (7'), Bannigan (72')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Broxburn 0-8 Ayr
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Partick Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 1-2 Partick
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
45.44% ( -0.02)	25.72% ( -0.01)	28.84% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

0.05)

51.11% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

0.04)

72.96% (

-0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

0.01)

22.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.01% (

0.02)

55.99% (

-0.02)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88% (

0.04)

32.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.4% (

0.05)

68.6% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 45.44%

Partick Thistle 28.84%

Draw 25.72%

Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.44%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.84%