Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Broxburn Athletic had a probability of 10.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Broxburn Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.