Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Albyn Park

Broxburn
0 - 8
Ayr

Page (37'), Page (45+2'), (86'), (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Agbaire (16'), Henderson (37' pen., 52', 89'), McKenzie (64'), Oakley (68'), Hastie (70'), Watret (76')

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Broxburn Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Broxburn Athletic

Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Broxburn
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Ayr
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Broxburn Athletic had a probability of 10.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Broxburn Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Broxburn Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
10.17% ( -0.03)	17.14% ( -0.03)	72.68% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 46.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.93% (

0.01)

42.06% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53% (

0.02)

64.47% (

-0.02)

Broxburn Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.52% (

-0.05)

48.48% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.41% (

-0.04)

83.58% (

0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.84% (

0.02)

10.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.62% (

0.04)

33.38% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Broxburn Athletic 10.17%

Ayr United 72.67%

Draw 17.14%

Broxburn Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 10.17%	1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.14%	0-2 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.25% 0-3 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-6 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 72.67%