MX23RW : Friday, February 14 23:05:09| >> :600:391951:391951:
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Albyn Park
Ayr United

Broxburn
0 - 8
Ayr


Page (37'), Page (45+2'), (86'), (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Agbaire (16'), Henderson (37' pen., 52', 89'), McKenzie (64'), Oakley (68'), Hastie (70'), Watret (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Broxburn Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Broxburn
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Ayr
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Broxburn Athletic had a probability of 10.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Broxburn Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Broxburn AthleticDrawAyr United
10.17% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03) 17.14% (-0.026 -0.03) 72.68% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)42.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.47% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Broxburn Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.52% (-0.055 -0.05)48.48% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.41% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)83.58% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)10.15% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (0.040999999999997 0.04)33.38% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Broxburn Athletic 10.17%
    Ayr United 72.67%
    Draw 17.14%
Broxburn AthleticDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 3.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.17%
1-1 @ 8.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 17.14%
0-2 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.25%
0-3 @ 9.82% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 5.61% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-6 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 72.67%

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