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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Old Stadium, Phnom Penh

Hamilton
3 - 1
Musselburgh Athletic

Hendrie (24'), McGinty (88'), Shaw (90+5')
Martin (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Todd (48')
(32')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Hamilton Academical and Musselburgh Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Last Game: Hamilton 1-2 Partick
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Musselburgh Athletic

TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Falkirk371.85Miller
2Ayr341.62Oakley
3Hamilton271.42Shaw
4Livingston271.29May
5Partick261.24Graham
6Queen's Park231.10Rudden
7Dunfermline211.00Kane
8Raith Rovers191.00Easton
9Morton170.89Stuparevic
10Airdrieonians110.55Mochrie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 84.15%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Musselburgh Athletic had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 4-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Musselburgh Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawMusselburgh Athletic
84.15% (0.00099999999999056 0)10.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)5.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 51.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)43.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Musselburgh Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13%81.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 84.15%
    Musselburgh Athletic 5.6%
    Draw 10.24%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawMusselburgh Athletic
3-0 @ 10.27%
2-0 @ 9.58%
4-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 7.4%
4-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.07%
6-0 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.46%
6-1 @ 2.2%
5-2 @ 1.59%
7-0 @ 1.31%
7-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 84.15%
1-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.86%
0-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 10.24%
1-2 @ 1.78%
0-1 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 5.6%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Hamilton Academical