Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21

Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
2 - 1
Airdrieonians

Strapp (5' og.), Fraser (59')
Wilson (47'), May (49'), Brandon (81'), McAlear (82'), McAlear (82'), Culbert (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mochrie (14')
McMaster (33'), McDonald (36'), Armstrong (90'), Diack (90')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Livingston and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 3-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Airdrieonians
60.13% ( 0.4)	22.61% ( -0.13)	17.27% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

0.16)

50.02% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

0.14)

72% (

-0.13)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.19)

16.24% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24% (

0.34)

45.76% (

-0.34)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.49% (

-0.22)

42.51% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.12% (

-0.19)

78.88% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Livingston 60.12%

Airdrieonians 17.27%

Draw 22.6%

Livingston	Draw	Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 60.12%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.27%