Livingston logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Cove Rangers

Livingston
3 - 0
Cove Rangers

McGowan (25'), Yengi (81', 83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fyvie (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Livingston and Cove Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Livingston
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.35pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawCove Rangers
68.54% (-0.105 -0.11)19.12% (0.02 0.02)12.34% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.114 0.11)45.06% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.108 0.11)67.41% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)12.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.51% (0.21100000000001 0.21)46.49% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.9% (0.161 0.16)82.1% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 68.53%
    Cove Rangers 12.34%
    Draw 19.12%
LivingstonDrawCove Rangers
2-0 @ 12.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 68.53%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.34%

How you voted: Livingston vs Cove Rangers

Livingston
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Cove Rangers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Cove Rangers
0-2
Livingston

Darge (40'), Murray (48'), Fyvie (55')
Murray (6' og.), Sole (86')
Kelly (55')
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Cove Rangers
0-5
Livingston

Darge (18'), Finbar Gillingham (54'), Kerr (58'), Jones (90+2')
Parkes (44'), Obileye (55'), Anderson (59'), Kelly (81', 90+2')
Holt (39'), Shinnie (41')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Cove Rangers
1-2
Livingston
Vigurs (45+1')
Shinnie (48'), Devlin (88')
Goncalves (25')
rhs 2.0


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