Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Cove Rangers
Scottish League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Balmoral Stadium
Alloa Athletic

Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Alloa

Darge (22'), Gaffney (88')
Suman (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neill (86')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Cove Rangers and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 Montrose
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.

Result
Cove RangersDrawAlloa Athletic
40.35% (-0.239 -0.24)25.25% (-0.061 -0.06)34.4% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.55% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (0.331 0.33)47.08% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (0.308 0.31)69.32% (-0.309 -0.31)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.03% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.336 0.34)26.41% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.446 0.45)61.57% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Cove Rangers 40.35%
    Alloa Athletic 34.4%
    Draw 25.25%
Cove RangersDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Alloa
0-2
Cove Rangers

Thomson (90+4')
Donnelly (37')
Scully (16'), Fyvie (24')
Yule (69'), Darge (74')
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Cove Rangers
2-3
Alloa
Megginson (69'), Burrell (74')
Niang (41'), Niang (53'), Darge (80'), Kerr (88')
Virtanen (26'), Wales (51', 89')
Megginson (59')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Alloa
4-1
Cove Rangers
Taggart (42' pen.), Wales (53'), Steven (73', 85')
McKay (90')
Connell (71')
Reynolds (41')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Cove Rangers
1-2
Alloa
Burrell (18')
Niang (53')
Coulson (62'), Taggart (90+2')
Cawley (40'), O'Donnel (76')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Alloa
1-0
Cove Rangers
Sammon (33')
Cawley (49'), Scougall (73'), Cannon (80'), Cannon (81')

Megginson (82')