Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 37.44% ( | 24.31% ( | 38.25% |
| Both teams to score 60.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% | 42.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% | 64.77% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% | 22.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( | 56.13% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% | 22.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% | 55.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.25% |