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Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Arbroath

Alloa
0 - 1
Arbroath


Waters (42'), McDonnell (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gallagher (43')
Dow (83')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 1-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
46.33% (0.142 0.14)24.58% (0.138 0.14)29.08% (-0.285 -0.29)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-0.656 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.778 -0.78)46.11% (0.773 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.74 -0.74)68.41% (0.735 0.73)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.258 -0.26)19.99% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-0.412 -0.41)52.17% (0.407 0.41)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (-0.593 -0.59)29.37% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (-0.733 -0.73)65.35% (0.72699999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 46.33%
    Arbroath 29.08%
    Draw 24.58%
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.33%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 29.08%

Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Alloa
1-0
Arbroath
Donnelly (16')
Waters (67')

Slater (27'), Coulson (59')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Arbroath
0-0
Alloa
Flynn (38'), Dow (42'), Watson (73')
Taggart (23'), Virtanen (66')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arbroath
2-1
Alloa
Hamilton (59'), Gold (83')
Hamilton (69'), Gold (89')
Trouten (64')
Hetherington (21')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Alloa
1-1
Arbroath
Cameron (90')
Grant (35'), Williamson (36'), Hetherington (66')
Grant (64')
Hamilton (24')
O'Brien (73'), Craigen (78')
Craigen (86')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Arbroath
0-1
Alloa

Craigen (90+2')
Scougall (79')