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Luke Donnelly
16'
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Calum Waters
67'
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Craig Slater
27'
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Quinn Coulson
59'
Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result
Alloa Athletic
39%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
24.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Arbroath
36.33%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
58.96%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
44.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
33.52%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
66.48%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
17.17%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
82.82%
▼
(-0.06)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
77.48%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
22.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
43.91%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
56.09%
▼
(-0.12)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5
76.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
23.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
41.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
58.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Alloa Athletic
39%
Draw
24.65%
Arbroath
36.33%
Alloa Athletic
2-1
@
8.56%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39%
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39%
Draw
1-1
@
11.48%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
2-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
Arbroath
1-2
@
8.22%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.33%
0-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.33%
