Alloa Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Arbroath

Alloa
1 - 0
Arbroath

Donnelly (16')
Waters (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Slater (27'), Coulson (59')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Alloa Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Alloa 0-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)36.33% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (0.076000000000001 0.08)44.1% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.076000000000001 0.08)66.48% (-0.077000000000012 -0.08)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.072999999999993 0.07)22.52% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91% (0.112 0.11)56.09% (-0.113 -0.11)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (0.00099999999999056 0)23.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)58.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 39%
    Arbroath 36.33%
    Draw 24.65%
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.33%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Arbroath
0-0
Alloa
Flynn (38'), Dow (42'), Watson (73')
Taggart (23'), Virtanen (66')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arbroath
2-1
Alloa
Hamilton (59'), Gold (83')
Hamilton (69'), Gold (89')
Trouten (64')
Hetherington (21')
> Match Report
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Alloa
1-1
Arbroath
Cameron (90')
Grant (35'), Williamson (36'), Hetherington (66')
Grant (64')
Hamilton (24')
O'Brien (73'), Craigen (78')
Craigen (86')
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Arbroath
0-1
Alloa

Craigen (90+2')
Scougall (79')
> Match Report
May 2, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Arbroath
P-P
Alloa