Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 49.54% ( | 22.94% ( | 27.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( | 39.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( | 61.98% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( | 16.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( | 27.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( | 62.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.52% |