Scottish League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 3
Dumbarton

O'Brien (11')
Smith (16'), Stewart (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pignatiello (18'), Smith (47' og.), Gray (90')
Brown (11'), Durnan (68'), Wallace (73'), Blair (86')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Arbroath
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Dumbarton
37.84% ( -0.58)	26.27% ( 0.12)	35.89% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.48)

51.34% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-0.42)

73.17% (

0.42)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

-0.54)

26.42% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

-0.73)

61.59% (

0.73)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.05)

27.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.93% (

0.06)

63.07% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 37.84%

Dumbarton 35.89%

Draw 26.27%

Arbroath	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.89%