Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 42.55% ( | 25.43% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( | 70.64% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( | 22.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( | 56.37% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( | 28.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( | 64.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.02% |