Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 45.93% ( | 25.41% ( | 28.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( | 49.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( | 71.89% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( | 21.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% ( | 54.89% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( | 31.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( | 68.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.66% |