/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Farblog.png)
-
Paul Watson
4'
-
Graham Webster
22'
-
Graham Webster
54'
-
Aidan Quinn
78'
-
Kane Hester
84'
-
Cameron Gill
90'+4'
-
Ryan Dow
80'
-
Thomas O'Brien
90'+6'
Montrose vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result
Montrose
45.55%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
23.56%
▼
(-0.07)
Arbroath
30.88%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
61.14%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.5%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
40.49%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
37.12%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
62.87%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 4.5
19.88%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 4.5
80.12%
▼
(-0.18)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5
81.93%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
18.07%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
51.01%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
48.99%
▼
(-0.35)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5
74.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
25.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
39.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
60.16%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Montrose
45.55%
Draw
23.56%
Arbroath
30.88%
Montrose
2-1
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.55%
1-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.55%
Draw
1-1
@
10.75%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
Arbroath
1-2
@
7.38%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 30.88%
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 30.88%