Scottish League One | Gameweek 13

Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Links Park

Montrose
1 - 1
Arbroath

Watson (4')
Webster (22'), Quinn (78'), Hester (84'), Gill (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dow (80')
O'Brien (90+6')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Montrose	Draw	Arbroath
45.55% ( 0.29)	23.56% ( -0.07)	30.88% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

0.23)

40.49% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12% (

0.23)

62.87% (

-0.23)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

0.21)

18.07% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01% (

0.35)

48.99% (

-0.35)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.02)

25.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

-0.03)

60.16% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Montrose 45.55%

Arbroath 30.88%

Draw 23.56%

Montrose	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.88%