Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
Scottish League One | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Stenhousemuir

Arbroath
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir

Taylor (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Buchanan (52'), Ewen (81'), Meechan (88'), Banner (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawStenhousemuir
43.26% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)25.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)31.24% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.16% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)56.23% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)29.39% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (0.019999999999996 0.02)65.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 43.26%
    Stenhousemuir 31.24%
    Draw 25.49%
ArbroathDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stenhousemuir
2-1
Arbroath
Taylor (50'), Banner (54')
Anderson (81'), Meechan (89'), Banner (90+1')
Coulson (90')
Wilkie (68')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Arbroath
0-2
Stenhousemuir

Swankie (91')
Marsh (45'), McGuigan (56')
Marsh (77')
Neill (90')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stenhousemuir
1-4
Arbroath
McGuigan (40')
Duthie (66')
Linn (4', 58'), Wallace (9', 52')
Dec 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Arbroath
5-2
Stenhousemuir
Kader (31'), Linn (36', 52'), Hamilton (79'), McCord (83')
Thomson (49')
McGuigan (21', 85')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stenhousemuir
1-2
Arbroath
McGuigan (24')
Smith (90')
Wallace (62' pen.), McCord (80')
Swankie (60'), Wallace (90')
rhs 2.0


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