Scottish League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
2 - 1
Kelty Hearts

O'Reilly (15'), Buchanan (47')
Ewen (29'), Wedderburn (54'), (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cunningham (76')
Cunningham (54'), Buchanan (59'), Flatman (66'), Bryce (86')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Rangers U21s 4-1 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Kelty Hearts
47.38% ( 0.01)	23.93% ( 0.01)	28.69% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.46% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.58% (

-0.04)

43.42% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.19% (

-0.04)

65.81% (

0.03)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51% (

-0.01)

18.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.3% (

-0.02)

49.7% (

0.02)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

-0.03)

28.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

-0.04)

63.99% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 47.38%

Kelty Hearts 28.69%

Draw 23.92%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 47.38%	1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.69%