Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Montrose |
| 45.38% ( | 26.19% ( | 28.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( | 53.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( | 74.76% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( | 57.35% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( | 33.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( | 70.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.42% |