Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.