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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Ross County

Aberdeen
1 - 2
Ross County

Nisbet (45+11')
Keskinen (23'), Lopes (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (24'), Chilvers (60')
Brown (31'), Chilvers (65'), Lopata (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 29 at 5.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawRoss County
59.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)21.54% (0.032 0.03)19.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (-0.145 -0.15)42.22% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37% (-0.145 -0.14)64.63% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.03% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)13.96% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.54% (-0.114 -0.11)41.45% (0.115 0.12)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)35.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)72.27% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 59.05%
    Ross County 19.4%
    Draw 21.54%
AberdeenDrawRoss County
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.05%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Ross County

Aberdeen
79.0%
Draw
8.1%
Ross County
12.9%
62
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
Ross County
0-1
Aberdeen

Randall (8'), Lopata (36'), Hale (45+3')
Nisbet (90+8')
MacKenzie (41'), Besuijen (64')
May 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Ross County
2-2
Aberdeen
Murray (5'), Dhanda (68' pen.)
Baldwin (28'), Murray (29'), Brown (77'), White (85')
Sokler (32'), McGrath (50')
Devlin (90+1')
MacDonald (64')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
2-1
Ross County
Miovski (5'), McGrath (78')
Hoilett (45'), Gartenmann (61')
Murray (26')
Reid (9'), White (53'), Wickens (73'), Sheaf (90+5')
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ross County
0-3
Aberdeen

Baldwin (39'), Leak (45'), Purrington (65'), Henderson (84'), Dhanda (87')
Baldwin (90+1')
McGrath (24', 30'), Miovski (80')
Polvara (47'), Barron (59'), Devlin (90+2')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ross County
1-2
Aberdeen
Turner (83' pen.)
Murray (17'), Harmon (64'), Turner (71')
Baldwin (14')
Shinnie (8'), Sokler (80')
Barron (59'), Rubezic (84'), Sokler (88')