Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.