Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 13

Nov 23, 2024 at 4pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Olusanya (19'), Taylor (83')
Gogic (28'), McMenamin (44'), Kiltie (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGrath (50')
McGrath (43'), Shinnie (60'), Molloy (72'), Lopes (79'), Nisbet (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Mirren
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Dundee
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
43.87% ( 1.12)	26.26% ( -0.06)	29.87% ( -1.06)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.22% (

-0.19)

52.78% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

-0.16)

74.4% (

0.16)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

0.47)

23.92% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86% (

0.67)

58.13% (

-0.67)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.86)

32.23% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

-0.98)

68.72% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 43.87%

Aberdeen 29.87%

Draw 26.25%

St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.87%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.87%