Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.