Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
56.52% ( 0.17) | 23.73% ( 0.01) | 19.75% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49% ( -0.26) | 51% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.13% ( -0.23) | 72.86% ( 0.23) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% ( -0.03) | 17.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.37% ( -0.05) | 48.63% ( 0.06) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.79% ( -0.35) | 40.21% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.16% ( -0.32) | 76.84% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 19.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |