Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 42.67% ( | 25.72% ( | 31.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( | 49.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( | 71.9% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( | 23.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( | 57.17% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( | 65.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.61% |