Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
34.03% ( 0.01) | 26.07% ( 0) | 39.89% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( -0.01) | 50.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.01) | 72.64% ( 0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.6% ( 0) | 28.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.85% | 64.14% ( 0) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.01) | 25.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0.02) | 59.71% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |