Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.