Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15

Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
4 - 1
Motherwell

Adewumi (14'), Tiffoney (60'), Cameron (63', 67')
Koumetio (29'), McGhee (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stamatelopoulos (19')
Seddon (61'), Kettlewell (65'), Miller (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 0-3 Hibernian
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Motherwell
42.19% ( 0.03)	24.51% ( 0.23)	33.3% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 58.83% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.01% (

-1.18)

43.98% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.63% (

-1.16)

66.36% (

1.16)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.48)

20.94% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

-0.76)

53.68% (

0.76)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-0.72)

25.58% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

-0.99)

60.46% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Dundee 42.19%

Motherwell 33.3%

Draw 24.5%

Dundee	Draw	Motherwell
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.19%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.3%