Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock4 - 0Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Aberdeen
After an incredible start to the season, Aberdeen have now gone six matches without victory and are missing their first-team goalkeeper and top-scorer due to injury. Kilmarnock, meanwhile, are a long way from the type of form we saw last season, currently the second-lowest-scoring team in the top flight. This is a match that both sides will likely feel they can win, but given their current form and recent league records, we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
37.89% ( -0.09) | 26.84% ( -0.01) | 35.27% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
