Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Aberdeen

Vassell (18'), Watson (59'), Cameron (87'), Anderson (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Heltne Nilsen (46'), Palaversa (62'), Rubezic (63'), J (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
37.89% ( -0.09)	26.84% ( -0.01)	35.27% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

0.05)

53.76% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

0.04)

75.24% (

-0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-0.03)

27.53% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

-0.04)

63.04% (

0.03)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

0.09)

29.1% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

0.11)

65.02% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 37.89%

Aberdeen 35.27%

Draw 26.83%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.89%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.27%