Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 18' goal
  • David Watson 59' goal
  • Innes Cameron 87' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 62'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 63'
  • yellowcard J 67'

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
Motherwell 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
Aberdeen 1 - 3 Hibernian
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 37.89% (-0.10)
Draw 26.84% (-0.02)
Aberdeen 35.27% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.24% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 53.76% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.76% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 75.24% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.2% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.79% (-0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 72.46% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.53% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 36.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.04% (+0.04)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 29.1% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 34.98% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 65.02% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 37.89%
Draw 26.83%
Aberdeen 35.27%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (+0.71)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.27%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Habib Gueye 23' goal
  • Habib Gueye 65' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 67' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Slobodan Rubezic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • redcard Bradley Lyons 54'
Scottish Cup
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Jamie McGrath 11' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 33' goal
  • Jack MacKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 66' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 70' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Armstrong 41'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 62'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Corrie Ndaba 45'+5' goal
  • Matty Kennedy 58' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neil Warnock 0'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Graeme Shinnie 45' yellowcard
  • Jonny Hayes 65' yellowcard
  • Stefan Gartenmann 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 86'
  • goal David Watson 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 45'+5' goal
  • Marley Watkins 64' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Gartenmann 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ester Sokler 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Lopes 1' goal
  • Luis Lopes 59' goal