Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Liam Gordon 17' goal
  • Harry Paton 56' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 77' redcard
  • yellowcard David Watson 45'
  • goal Liam Polworth 74'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 78'
  • yellowcard J 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 90'+3'

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
Motherwell 4 - 3 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Slattery

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 15, 2024 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 46.26% (+0.72)
Draw 25.69% (+0.24)
Kilmarnock 28.05% (-0.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.24% (-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.62% (-1.49)
Under 2.5 51.38% (+1.48)
Over 3.5 26.8% (-1.31)
Under 3.5 73.19% (+1.31)
Over 4.5 12.52% (-0.87)
Under 4.5 87.48% (+0.87)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 22.19% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 44.4% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 55.6% (+0.45)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 67.14% (-1.49)
Under 0.5 32.86% (+1.49)
Over 1.5 30.57% (-1.69)
Under 1.5 69.42% (+1.69)

Score analysis

Motherwell 46.26%
Draw 25.68%
Kilmarnock 28.05%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.97% (+0.55)
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.29% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.21)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.68%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.12% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.05%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET Fir Park
  • Dan Casey 48' yellowcard
  • Moses Ebiye 96' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 44'
  • redcard Stuart Findlay 51'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 87'
  • yellowcard Kieran O'Hara 90'+5'
  • yellowcard David Watson 95'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 110'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Theo Bair 38' goal
  • Calum Butcher 80' yellowcard
  • Blair Spittal 85' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Mayo 13'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 36'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 48'
  • yellowcard Greg Stewart 80'
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin van Veen 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • David Watson 38' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 49' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 32'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fir Park
  • Stephen O'Donnell 43' yellowcard
  • Brodie Spencer 52' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 57' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 59' goal
  • Harry Paton 66' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 71' yellowcard
  • Paul McGinn 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Paton 90'+8' goal
  • goal Marley Watkins 12'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 32'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 66'
  • yellowcard David Watson 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Blair Spittal 4' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 90'+1' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Robinson 17' goal
  • goal Callum Slattery 90'