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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Celtic logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Celtic


Wright (11'), Donnelly (83'), Murray (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGregor (45+4'), Kuhn (71')
Hatate (80'), Trusty (83'), Maeda (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 3-2 Kilmarnock
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
18.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)19.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)61.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.26% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)35.74% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.19% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)57.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)32.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)68.86% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.09% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)35.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 18.75%
    Celtic 61.31%
    Draw 19.94%
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 4.12%
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.94%
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.69% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3.89%
0-4 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.7%
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 61.31%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock
11.3%
Draw
5.7%
Celtic
83.0%
53
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celtic
4-0
Kilmarnock
Hatate (17'), Scales (40'), Kuhn (59'), Ralston (90+4')

Donnelly (70'), Lyons (84')
May 15, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 37
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

Donnelly (30'), Deas (49')
Idah (5'), Maeda (12'), Forrest (35'), O'Riley (51', 71')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Celtic
1-1
Kilmarnock
Furuhashi (32')
Watson (90+2')
Donnelly (21'), Mayo (38'), Armstrong (73')
Dec 10, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 17
Kilmarnock
2-1
Celtic
Phillips (75' og.), Kennedy (87')
Lyons (41'), Deas (69'), Armstrong (79')
O'Riley (33')
Johnston (83')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Hatate (22'), Palma (33'), Taylor (82')
Taylor (68'), Scales (76')
Watson (72')
Mayo (28'), Vassell (76')
rhs 2.0


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