Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17

Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts

Anderson (18' pen.)
Murray (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Penrice (16'), Rowles (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Hearts
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
41.43% ( -0.07)	25.79% ( 0.11)	32.77% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18% (

-0.45)

49.81% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18% (

-0.41)

71.81% (

0.4)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

-0.24)

23.82% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

-0.34)

57.99% (

0.34)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-0.25)

28.74% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.31)

64.57% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 41.43%

Hearts 32.77%

Draw 25.78%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.43%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.77%