Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Robbie Deas 6' redcard
  • Bruce Anderson 18' goal
  • Fraser Murray 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Penrice 16'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 45'+7'

Kilmarnock vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Hearts 2 - 0 Dundee
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 41.43% (-0.08)
Draw 25.79% (+0.11)
Hearts 32.77% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.28% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.18% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 49.81% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 28.18% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 71.81% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 13.43% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 86.56% (+0.28)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 76.17% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 23.82% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 42% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 57.99% (+0.34)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 71.26% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 28.74% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 35.42% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 64.57% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 41.43%
Draw 25.78%
Hearts 32.77%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.82% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 41.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
Hearts
0-1 @ 8.54% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 32.77%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Alan Forrest 44' goal
  • James Penrice 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Vassell 52'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 58'
  • goal Kyle Vassell 63'
  • yellowcard Matty Kennedy 65'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 77'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Lewis Mayo 36' yellowcard
  • Joe Wright 44' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 61' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 89' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Kenneth Vargas 10' goal
  • Frankie Kent 27' yellowcard
  • Alex Cochrane 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 28'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 63'
  • goal Marley Watkins 67'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Rugby Park
  • Will Dennis 40' yellowcard
  • Will Dennis 41' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • goal Will Dennis 18' (OG)
  • goal Will Dennis 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 79'
Scottish League Cup
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Bradley Lyons 68' goal
  • goal Jorge Grant 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 50'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 60'
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 88'
  • goal Alex Lowry 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 40' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 67'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 85'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 90'+5'