Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.