Cove Rangers
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Balmoral Stadium
Forfar Athletic

Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Forfar

Emslie (42'), Gaffney (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Allan (60'), McCallum (80'), Morrison (89')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Cove Rangers and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 1-0 Cove Rangers
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Elgin
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.

Result
Cove RangersDrawForfar Athletic
38.64%26.2%35.15%
Both teams to score 53.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88%51.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03%72.96%
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15%60.85%
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11%27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5%63.49%
Score Analysis
    Cove Rangers 38.65%
    Forfar Athletic 35.15%
    Draw 26.19%
Cove RangersDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.65%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.15%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 3pm
Group Stage
Forfar
1-1
Cove Rangers
(Aggregate 1-1 | Forfar win 3-1 on penalties)
Malcolm (21')
Klimionek (40')
Scully (31')
Fyvie (51'), Scully (74')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Cove Rangers
P-P
Forfar
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Forfar
0-1
Cove Rangers

Coll (35'), Thomas (53'), Irvine (68')
Megginson (64')
Masson (53'), Milne (89')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Group Stage
Cove Rangers
1-0
Forfar
McAllister (68' pen.)

Fisher (50'), Coll (55'), Hoban (68'), MacKenzie (89')
Fisher (80')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cove Rangers
3-0
Forfar
McAllister (4'), Megginson (43' pen., 61')