Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 40.29% ( | 25.35% ( | 34.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( | 47.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( | 69.73% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( | 26.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( | 61.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.36% |