Scottish League One | Gameweek 15

Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

New Central Park

Kelty Hearts
3 - 2
Arbroath

MacIntyre (45', 53'), Williamson (73')
Owens (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Reilly (42'), Murray (57')
Smith (87')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 0-2 Arbroath
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Arbroath
35.9% ( -1.31)	25.46% ( 0.36)	38.64% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.2% (

-1.67)

47.8% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02% (

-1.55)

69.98% (

1.56)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-1.49)

25.86% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16% (

-2.07)

60.84% (

2.08)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

-0.24)

24.36% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24% (

-0.34)

58.76% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 35.9%

Arbroath 38.64%

Draw 25.45%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.9%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.64%