Scottish League One | Gameweek 16

Dec 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 1
QotS

Murray (76'), Gallagher (90+1')
Taylor (31'), Stewart (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Douglas (72')
Douglas (26')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Queen of the South

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 QotS
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Queen of the South
44.29% ( -0.06)	26.82% ( -0.05)	28.89% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62% (

0.25)

55.38% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42% (

0.2)

76.58% (

-0.2)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.08)

24.86% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

0.11)

59.47% (

-0.11)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

0.22)

34.32% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98% (

0.24)

71.02% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 44.28%

Queen of the South 28.89%

Draw 26.82%

Arbroath	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.28%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.89%