Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
Scottish League One | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Alloa Athletic

Arbroath
1 - 3
Alloa

Reilly (13')
O'Brien (73'), Flynn (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Scougall (21'), Rankin (40'), McKay (56')
Hetherington (23'), O'Donnel (58'), Rankin (79')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Montrose
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 1-3 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawAlloa Athletic
48.26% (1.002 1)24.99% (-0.185 -0.18)26.75% (-0.817 -0.82)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (0.226 0.23)49.33% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.205 0.21)71.38% (-0.205 -0.2)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.52200000000001 0.52)20.47% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (0.823 0.82)52.94% (-0.822 -0.82)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)32.79% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.581 -0.58)69.34% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 48.25%
    Alloa Athletic 26.75%
    Draw 24.99%
ArbroathDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.75%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Alloa
0-1
Arbroath

Waters (42'), McDonnell (78')
Waters (46'), McDonnell (90')
Gallagher (43')
Dow (83')
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Alloa
1-0
Arbroath
Donnelly (16')
Waters (67')

Slater (27'), Coulson (59')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Arbroath
0-0
Alloa
Flynn (38'), Dow (42'), Watson (73')
Taggart (23'), Virtanen (66')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arbroath
2-1
Alloa
Hamilton (59'), Gold (83')
Hamilton (69'), Gold (89')
Trouten (64')
Hetherington (21')
> Match Report
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Alloa
1-1
Arbroath
Cameron (90')
Grant (35'), Williamson (36'), Hetherington (66')
Grant (64')
Hamilton (24')
O'Brien (73'), Craigen (78')
Craigen (86')
> Match Report