Scottish League One | Gameweek 19

Dec 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
3 - 0
Montrose

Spalding (21'), O'Brien (65'), Taylor (84')
Wilkie (57'), Gold (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McKenzie (90+1')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Annan 0-4 Arbroath
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Montrose
45.53% ( 0.03)	26.85% ( 0.01)	27.62% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.89% (

-0.07)

56.1% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.82% (

-0.05)

77.17% (

0.06)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

-0.02)

24.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93% (

-0.02)

59.06% (

0.02)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29% (

-0.07)

35.71% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52% (

-0.07)

72.48% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 45.53%

Montrose 27.62%

Draw 26.84%

Arbroath	Draw	Montrose
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.53%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.62%