Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 43.72% ( | 24.54% ( | 31.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( | 44.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( | 67% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( | 53.02% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( | 26.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( | 62.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.74% |