Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm

4

0

HT : 2 0

FT Ochilview Park

Matt Yates 9'
Aaron Steele 25'
Matt Yates 39'
Matt Yates 73'
Matt Yates 89'

Mark Durnan 38'
Findlay Gray 44'
Tony Wallace 54'
Brett Long 68'
Mouhamed Niang 89'

Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

W
W
D
L
W
L

Scottish League One

W
W
D
L
W
L

Last game

Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm

Cove Rangers 0 - 3 Stenhousemuir

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Corey O'Donnell

Dumbarton

All competitions

D
W
L
L
W
W

Scottish League One

D
W
L
L
W
W

Last game

Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm

Alloa 2 - 2 Dumbarton

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Michael Ruth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result

Stenhousemuir 43.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 25.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Dumbarton 30.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

53.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 50.04% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 27.98% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 72.01% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 4.5 13.3% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 86.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 22.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 43.39% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 56.61% ▼ (-0.05)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 69.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 30.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 33.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 66.37% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 43.58%

Draw 25.68%

Dumbarton 30.74%

Stenhousemuir

1-0 @ 10.19%

2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.1%

Total : 43.58%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.2%

0-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 25.68%

Dumbarton

0-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.18%

Total : 30.74%

Head to Head

Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Carlo Pignatiello 42'
Cameron Clark 52'
Cameron Clark 70'

Blair Alston 11'
Matthew Aitken 35'
Matthew Aitken 80'

Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Mark Durnan 36'

Gregor Buchanan 37'
Ross Taylor 70'

Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Ochilview Park

Bradley Rodden 29'
Adam Brown 37'
Ross Taylor 65'
Ross Taylor 79'

Ryan Blair 62'
Sean Crighton 64'
Findlay Gray 66'
Ryan Blair 75'
Ryan Wallace 77'
Carlo Pignatiello 81'

Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Blair Malcolm 34'
Ryan Wallace 59'
Aron Lynas 60'

Kinlay Bilham 73'
James Berry 87'

Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm

2

4

HT : 0 4

FT Ochilview Park

Gregor Buchanan 33'
Matt Yates 51'
Matthew Aitken 55'
Nicky Jamieson 90'
Jordan Kirkpatrick 90'+1'
Matthew Aitken 90'+7'

Sean Crighton 14'
Sean Crighton 20'
Ross MacLean 29'
Ross MacLean 30'
James Hilton 42'
Brett Long 52'
Ross MacLean 65'
Carlo Pignatiello 75'
Carlo Pignatiello 82'
Tony Wallace 90'+1'
Findlay Gray 90'+2'

Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Aron Lynas 45'+4'

Gavin Reilly 71'
Thomas Orr 78'

Form Data

Cove Rangers 0 - 3 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Montrose

Annan 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Arbroath 1 - 0 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts

Rangers U21s 4 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Alloa 2 - 2 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 2 - 1 QotS

Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 0 - 3 Cove Rangers

Dumbarton 3 - 1 Inverness

Arbroath 1 - 3 Dumbarton