Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
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Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Dumbarton

Stenhousemuir
4 - 0
Dumbarton

Yates (9', 73' pen., 89' pen.), Steele (25')
Yates (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Durnan (38'), Wallace (54'), Niang (89')
Gray (44'), Long (68')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-3 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Dumbarton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
43.58% (0.037000000000006 0.04)25.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)30.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.04% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.01% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.031000000000006 0.03)22.87% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)56.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 43.58%
    Dumbarton 30.74%
    Draw 25.68%
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dumbarton
1-3
Stenhousemuir
Pignatiello (42')
Clark (52')
Clark (70')
Alston (11' pen.), Aitken (35', 80')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Dumbarton
0-0
Stenhousemuir
Durnan (36')
Buchanan (37'), Taylor (70')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stenhousemuir
1-0
Dumbarton
Taylor (65')
Rodden (29'), Brown (37'), Taylor (79')

Blair (62'), Crighton (64'), Gray (66'), Wallace (77'), Pignatiello (81')
Blair (75')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dumbarton
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Malcolm (34'), Wallace (59'), Lynas (60')
Berry (87')
Bilham (73')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stenhousemuir
2-4
Dumbarton
Aitken (55' pen., 90+7')
Buchanan (33'), Yates (51'), Jamieson (90'), Kirkpatrick (90+1')
Crighton (14'), MacLean (29', 30'), Hilton (42')
Crighton (20'), Long (52'), MacLean (65'), Pignatiello (75'), Wallace (90+1'), Gray (90+2')
Pignatiello (82')