Scottish League One Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • James Hilton 14' goal
  • James Hilton 14' goal
  • Ryan Blair 63' goal
  • Ryan Blair 63' goal
  • James Hilton 72' goal
  • David Wilson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Nolan 21'
  • yellowcard James Nolan 21'
  • goal Jake Davidson 28'
  • goal Jake Davidson 28'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 56'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 56'

Dumbarton vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Arbroath 1 - 3 Dumbarton
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Michael Ruth

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Inverness 1 - 0 Annan
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Keith Bray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result

Dumbarton 46.04% (+0.14)
Draw 24.66% (+0.14)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.3% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.4% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.67% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 46.32% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 31.39% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 68.61% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 15.64% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 84.36% (+0.49)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 79.79% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 20.2% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 47.48% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 52.51% (+0.38)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 29.32% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 34.7% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 65.29% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Dumbarton 46.04%
Draw 24.65%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.3%
Dumbarton
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.3% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.04% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.92% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.65%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 7.27% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 29.3%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 44' goal
  • Adam Brooks 57' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Hilton 26'
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Niang 55'
  • goal Carlo Pignatiello 59'
  • redcard Mouhamed Niang 79'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Ryan Wallace 27' goal
  • Tony Wallace 50' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 76'
Scottish Championship
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Cheaper Insurance Direct Stadium (Dumbarton)
  • Dougie Hill 47' yellowcard
  • Kyle Hutton 76' yellowcard
  • goal Iain Vigurs 56'
  • yellowcard Brad McKay 57'
  • yellowcard Coll Donaldson 87'
Scottish Championship
Apr 14, 2018 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)
  • Aaron Doran 17' goal
  • Brad McKay 21' yellowcard
  • Nathan Austin 41' goal
  • Nathan Austin 50' goal
  • Iain Vigurs 63' goal
  • Nathan Austin 68' goal
  • goal Grant Gallagher 13'
  • yellowcard Craig Barr 62'
  • yellowcard Mark Stewart 76'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hutton 90'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Mar 24, 2018 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christopher McLaughlin 43' yellowcard
  • Andy Dowie 52' yellowcard
  • Calum Gallagher 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Tremarco 50'
  • yellowcard Coll Donaldson 87'
  • goal Carl Tremarco 90'
Scottish Championship
Dec 16, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)
  • Carl Tremarco 34' goal
  • Brad McKay 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Hutton 43'
  • yellowcard Christian Nade 90'