Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Dumbarton
Scottish League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Inverness CT

Dumbarton
3 - 1
Inverness

Hilton (14', 14', 72'), Blair (63', 63')
Wilson (80')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Davidson (28', 28')
Nolan (21'), Nolan (21'), Savage (56'), Savage (56')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 1-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 Annan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
46.04% (0.13 0.13)24.66% (0.131 0.13)29.3% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.4% (-0.598 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.712 -0.71)46.32% (0.715 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (-0.675 -0.67)68.61% (0.67699999999999 0.68)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.23400000000001 -0.23)20.2% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.376 -0.38)52.51% (0.378 0.38)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)29.32% (0.542 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)65.29% (0.67 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 46.04%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.3%
    Draw 24.65%
DumbartonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.216 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 29.3%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Inverness
1-1
Dumbarton
Devine (44')
Brooks (57'), (85'), Devine (85')
Pignatiello (59')
Hilton (26'), Niang (55')
Niang (79')
Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dumbarton
2-1
Inverness
Wallace (27'), Wallace (50')
Blair (33'), Wallace (55')
Mckay (76')
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
Dumbarton
0-1
Inverness

Hill (47'), Hutton (76')
Vigurs (56')
McKay (57'), Donaldson (87')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Inverness
5-1
Dumbarton
Doran (17'), Austin (41', 50', 68'), Vigurs (63')
McKay (21')
Gallagher (13')
Barr (62'), Stewart (76'), Hutton (90')
Mar 24, 2018 4.15pm
Final
Dumbarton
0-1
Inverness

McLaughlin (43'), Dowie (52'), Gallagher (69')
Tremarco (90')
Tremarco (50'), Donaldson (87')
> Match Report
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